Saturday, September 16, 2006


On 23rd November England take on Australia at the Woolloongabba, Brisbane in the first test and William Hill are offering you 11/2 that England win. Steven_L says you would be a fool not to take it.
Shane Warne has played 10 test matches at the 'gabba, and Australia have won 9 of them. In 2002 Nasser Hussein famously won the toss and put Australia into bat. Hussein could only watch as first Simon Jones was stretchered off the field and Australia went onto pile up the runs, making 492 in the first innings and winning the game easily.
Flintoff will not make the same mistake. This is the first reason you should back England. If England bat first and make a respectable start expect that 11/2 to start dropping fast. Secondly good pace bowlers take wickets at the 'gabba. England will probably open up with Stephen Harmison and Matthew Hoggard, with Andrew Flintoff first change. If the aussies bat first up don't be surprised if early wickets fall, and again, the 11/2 price on England shortens.
Thirdly the 'gabba often produces results. The pitch usually bats well for the first 3 days, but does offer pace bowlers some assistance and the ball can swing. It's 50/50 who wins the toss, and unless there are unusual overhead conditions it is likely that team will bat first.
Monty Panesar might find the 4th and 5th day 'gabba wicket to his liking. Ashely Giles bowled well there in 2002 taking 4 first innings wickets. Warney has taken 64 wickets at an average of under 20 at the 'gabba. 11/2 looks just far too long in what should be an even match that produces a result.

6 Comments:

Anonymous raincoaster said...

My name is raincoaster. You deleted my comments. Prepare to die!

2:37 AM  
Blogger Steven_L said...

I deleted the whole post, this is a cricket blog now, you know the rules?

9:36 AM  
Anonymous raincoaster said...

No idea. It has something to do with wearing male jewelery and flying planeloads of hair gel to Germany, right? It's obviously some sort of gay terrorist thing.

9:21 PM  
Blogger Steven_L said...

Gay terrorist thing? What's your favourite sport? Let me guess something woosy like ringette?

3:32 AM  
Anonymous raincoaster said...

Baseball, bitch. I could probably play golf pretty well, too, if they'd let somebody throw me the ball.

And "woosy" isn't a word; you're thinking of "woozy," which is far less gay than the word you made up.

Ringette sucks donkeys. On Sunday.

4:37 AM  
Blogger Steven_L said...

Baseball? It's the most gay sport around - I mean they have to wear gloves to catch the ball!

7:41 AM  

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